Predicting the future can be daunting, but with the NBA’s current salary cap projection of $141 million for 2024-25, it’s not difficult to map out how each franchise will hit the offseason. Here’s a breakdown of which teams are likely to be active in the free agents market based on their current financial situation and roster composition.
Just Minimums
The Boston Celtics may have limited options due to their payroll situation, especially if Jrue Holiday opts into his $39.4 million final season. The Denver Nuggets face decisions with Kentavious Caldwell-Pope and Reggie Jackson, potentially affecting their cap space. The LA Clippers could reinvest in Paul George and James Harden, while the Miami Heat may see some players opt out, including Caleb Martin. The Milwaukee Bucks and Minnesota Timberwolves are also in a similar position, with key players under contract. The New York Knicks may retain OG Anunoby, Bojan Bogdanović, and Isaiah Hartenstein, limiting their flexibility. The Phoenix Suns, despite their success, may need to manage their payroll with key free agents like Grayson Allen.
The $5 Million Club
The Atlanta Hawks face a decision with Saddiq Bey, while the Dallas Mavericks may not have much to spend after a busy trade deadline. The Golden State Warriors’ choices regarding Chris Paul and Klay Thompson will impact their cap space. The Los Angeles Lakers’ plans hinge on LeBron James, who has a significant player option. The Memphis Grizzlies must navigate their payroll, potentially impacting Luke Kennard’s future with the team. The Portland Trail Blazers may prioritize shedding salary rather than adding via free agency.
Mid-Level of the Pack
The Brooklyn Nets may need to determine the right price for Nicolas Claxton, affecting their cap space. The Chicago Bulls have key free agents in DeMar DeRozan and Patrick Williams, while the Cleveland Cavaliers may need to make decisions regarding Isaac Okoro. The Houston Rockets, Indiana Pacers, and New Orleans Pelicans have various options to consider with their free agents. The Sacramento Kings may need to manage their cap space if Malik Monk re-signs, while the Washington Wizards are expected to actively rework their roster.
No. 8: San Antonio Spurs
The San Antonio Spurs, led by emerging star Victor Wembanyama, may take a cautious approach to free agency, focusing on incremental roster improvements.
No. 7: Oklahoma City Thunder
Despite having significant cap space, the Oklahoma City Thunder may prioritize internal growth and consider future contracts for key young players like Isaiah Joe, Josh Giddey, Chet Holmgren, and Jalen Williams.
As the offseason approaches, these teams will navigate their financial constraints and roster needs to determine their approach to the 2024 free-agent market.
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